Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.468042 0.538864 0.616348 0.707354 0.811261 0.926148 1.062761
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.388355 0.489119 0.609040 0.762036 0.951807 1.179228 1.472254
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.322186 0.440695 0.593037 0.802615 1.082823 1.443884 1.943797
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.269044 0.397405 0.574645 0.836061 1.210513 1.726064 2.488155
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.230106 0.365072 0.564203 0.877403 1.355339 2.054436 3.151266
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.192081 0.325978 0.536222 0.887402 1.455826 2.335284 3.793138
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.166418 0.300692 0.524059 0.918481 1.592474 2.690287 4.603883
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.139785 0.268143 0.493737 0.913660 1.668954 2.960193 5.319620
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.121752 0.247006 0.478732 0.931763 1.786237 3.313800 6.228926
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.102251 0.219017 0.446028 0.911334 1.829914 3.543850 6.953065
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.092629 0.208581 0.444512 0.949506 1.988807 4.004934 8.168957
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.085408 0.201643 0.448547 0.999034 2.177118 4.547256 9.617498
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.074881 0.185605 0.431414 1.002812 2.275371 4.932198 10.821999
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.065434 0.170090 0.412638 0.999804 2.358991 5.300119 12.048254
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.057573 0.156722 0.396272 0.999345 2.448234 5.693074 13.387275
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.051187 0.145698 0.383390 1.004768 2.551856 6.132435 14.893987
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.046649 0.138556 0.378705 1.029392 2.705146 6.705924 16.790438
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.041307 0.128029 0.363443 1.024452 2.784914 7.119359 18.370212
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.037879 0.122222 0.359558 1.048682 2.942723 7.742344 20.546709
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.033459 0.112463 0.343022 1.035548 3.000349 8.125729 22.180740
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.030558 0.106761 0.336928 1.050726 3.137265 8.730292 24.468300
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.026739 0.097210 0.317719 1.024320 3.153837 9.022643 25.975965
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.025222 0.095039 0.320534 1.064614 3.369091 9.879167 29.129756